Over the past couple weeks in my school we've had the nice opportunity to have a small class on personal accounting, budgets, banking, taxes, etc. Everyone made a rough budget estimate for necessities they would have to provide for themselves once they were out on their own in the real world. Basics like rent, food, utilities, clothes, and so forth were all covered.

Then our guest teacher (who is a local accountant) got into taxes. And goodness gracious, that really made an impact on all the students. Now, I am lucky enough to go to a very small private school where the students are well informed on current events and have a very realistic and balanced approach to life. I think for all of us in the class, though, taxes for that one instant didn't make any sense at all. The IRS never made sense to me, but this really hit it home. Now, for the people reading this, I'm sure it isn't anything new. I've had more experience and exposure to taxes than most of my friends, but still this class managed to smack us all in the face with reality a little bit. The amount set aside for taxes in our de facto budget outdid any of the other categories.

I've said it before and I'll say it again, basic common sense is something that is lacking right now, especially when it comes to government, but even with individuals and businesses as well. This will be the first year that I have to file taxes, and even though what I pay (roughly 12%) is a relatively small amount, it doesn't keep me from already getting frustrated in this system we're forced to tolerate and comply with. Most of my taxes go to Social Security, a flawed government program that will most likely be bankrupt within 15-20 years. (That and probably many other areas of our government.) Just the rules that people come up with for this sort of stuff is pretty funny. Everyone in the class started cracking up when our teacher started to explain 401(k)'s, because none of us could see how such absurd rules and regulations could be justified. And our teacher was explaining it in all seriousness; the whole philosophy of taxes and the rules that come with them are what really got to the students. Taxes make saving and investing so much more difficult than they should be; any exchange of money is basically penalized. Basic common sense says this is not a system the Founding Fathers would have appreciated. 

I think young people, both teens and young adults, are picking up on the ideas that it would be nice to just live their own lives without so much intrusion from the government. I've been constantly discussing politics and policies from the perspective of Austrian economics for more than a year, and the ideas simply make sense to them. Education is the number one way to spread the ideas of liberty, personal responsibility, and a non-intrusive government. I think all of us in the class started to realize that the IRS gives the notion that the government owns your labor and your property. This is not a good way to motivate young people to go out and get a job. Heck, it's already hard enough to get a consistent job with the strict labor laws in the U.S. Now that we get a chance to go out and get a real job, we have a relatively massive tax burden to deal with. 

When you analyze the IRS and Federal Reserve, both of which were created in 1913, you start to realize that this country is a lot less free than politicians would have you believe. The way I see it, the U.S. is becoming hostage to a huge national debt, over regulation, and central power. I honestly don't think the young people of this country will want to sit back as they start to feel the accelerated impacts from these socialist, centrist policies. There is no way that our current policies are paving the way for a more prosperous future. Debt, inflation, regulation have all been tried countless times throughout history in many different shapes and forms, and they never work. Logic says they can't and won't work, and as much as politicians in Washington might hope they can, the market cannot be suppressed forever. Luckily, more and more people are picking up on this across the country and starting to ask questions. The movement for liberty, responsibility, and a simple return to the Constitution can only go up from here. 

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Rubio's Reports First Quarter Results

16 May 5:10pm
On May 9, Rubio's reported 1Q 2007 results.

** Revenue up 16.8% to $41.0 million from $35.1 million in 1Q 2006
** Cost of sales $11,761,000 from
** SSS up 8.3% (this is the largest increase for Rubio's since the company went public in 1999)
** Transactions up 0.5% from 1Q 2006
** Guest count up 7.8% from 1Q 2006
** Restaurant operating cash flow margins 15.3% from 15.4% from 1Q 2006

** Net income $196K ($0.02 per share) from $192K ($0.02 per share) in 1Q 2006

** Cash position $5.79 million compared to $9.95 million in 4Q 2006
** No debt

Press Release

Webcasts and Conference Calls


The main thing that jumped out at me was the fact that the company's cash position decreased more than $4 million in the quarter. The reason for this was because of higher costs. Rubio's relies quite heavily on California produce, and California has experienced some colder-than-usual weather so far this year, which increased the costs for produce and avocados a good amount. Labor costs were also up a good amount YOY, I'd guess this is primarily because of the minimum wage increase. Considering the circumstances, I think they did a good job taking care of business, I would have expected income to be down YOY because the bulk of Rubio's locations are in California. What's even more impressive to me are the strong same-store sales (SSS), the really had a boost in business. This makes me feel comfortable with my previous assessment that Rubio's has enough of a niche to survive and expand, very few restaurants have been able to report much of a leap in SSS, let alone 8.3%. I'm curious to see how they do the rest of the year, if SSS are more consistent, I'll be very confident in the company.

I think management was smart to not open any new locations this quarter for a couple reasons. The first being that they did use up a lot of cash covering the higher costs, and I don't think it was a good time to build new restaurants anyway considering the extreme weather. What I want to see management do is make the current operation more consistent -- get things stable. I think they've got a very nice product that could expand to at least 300 restaurants, but they need to stabilize current operations first before going much further, in my opinion. I think this would be most rewarding for the company and shareholders in the long run.

These results did beat analyst sales estimates of $40.81 million but missed EPS expectations of $0.06. I'm fine with this, I like how management is handling things and I'm more confident in them and the business now than I was before. The strong balance sheet kept the company from feeling much of a pinch from the higher costs, and they still have a good amount to open new restaurants or improve current restaurants if they need to.

The price of the stock of $11.38 is still a little too high for me to start a position. I want to see if the company can keep this nice streak of strong sales going and see how management uses the cash. I don't think new restaurant openings are the thing to do at this point, but management may have a plan. CEO Dan Pittard says "We have initiatives underway to improve both our food and labor costs.” I want to be sure management does have a plan and isn't just saying things. But I must say I'm very impressed with this quarter, and if it's a sign of things to come, I'll be tempted to open a position. Consistency is what I'm looking for. Insiders still own a nice chunk of shares amounting to 22.42% of the company.

For the coming 2Q 2007, the three analysts following Rubio's expect an EPS of $0.08 on sales of $44.24 million.

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